The WattPlan Podcast · Episode 43 · 9 min
Threshold intervals: is the 2x20 really the gold standard?
Next episodes: What is FTP, and is your test telling the truth? · Which VO2max intervals actually work? · Is sweet spot training worth it?
Read the transcript
James. This is the WattPlan Podcast and I'm James. I juggle a family, a job and WattPlan, sneak the occasional podium, and read sports science on the sofa when I should be asleep. Today it's the session every club rider knows, the 2x20 at threshold. Is it really the gold standard, and are over-unders any better? Lyra, our AI research voice, has the studies, and they're all linked in the show notes.
Lyra. Threshold intervals work, but ridden at full FTP they're harder than most people think, and on their own they aren't the quickest way to get fitter. Start them a touch under FTP, and ride them alongside some harder work above threshold, not instead of it.
James. A touch under? The whole point of FTP is that you can hold it for an hour.
Lyra. That's the definition, and it's where the trouble starts. Borszcz and colleagues, in the International Journal of Sports Medicine in 2018, took 23 trained men, worked out their FTP from a 20 minute test, then had them ride at that power until they couldn't. On average they lasted about 51 minutes, not 60. And the spread was wide, so plenty of them were done well before that. [1]
James. So a 2x20 at full FTP is forty minutes at a power some of them could only hold for forty-odd minutes in one go.
Lyra. For some riders, yes. The rest between blocks helps, but it explains why the second twenty so often unravels. And there's a second study that points the same way. Inglis and colleagues, in the International Journal of Sports Physiology and Performance in 2020, found the highest power where blood lactate stays steady. On average it sat at about 93 percent of FTP. [3]
James. Hang about. So the line I think I'm riding on is actually a bit above the line that matters?
Lyra. For the average rider in that study, yes. Below that steady state you can keep going for a long time. Above it, lactate keeps climbing until you slow down. So a block at 100 percent sits above it for a lot of people. WattPlan's threshold sessions are written at FTP, and if the last block keeps falling apart, turn the intensity down a notch in the player and see if you can finish it.
James. Why the difference between riders, though? Same test, same percentage, and one lad's fine while the other's in bits.
Lyra. Because FTP is an estimate, and it fits some people better than others. Ninety-five percent of your best twenty minutes is a rule of thumb. A rider with a big sprint and a short fuse can post a strong twenty minutes that they could never stretch to an hour. A diesel who's slow to get going might post a modest twenty and hold it for ages. Same formula, very different riders underneath it.
James. So two people at 100 percent of FTP aren't really doing the same session.
Lyra. Not quite, no. That's the most useful thing to take from those studies. The percentage on the screen is a starting point, and your body tells you the rest. If the last block falls apart every week, the target's too high for you, whatever the test said. If you finish a 2x20 feeling you could do a third, it might be time to retest.
James. But surely if it hurts more, it works better? That's half of cycling culture right there.
Lyra. It's a fair instinct, and the best trial on interval length says otherwise. Seiler and colleagues, in the Scandinavian Journal of Medicine and Science in Sports in 2013, split recreational cyclists into groups of about nine for seven weeks. One group did four efforts of sixteen minutes, close to threshold. Another did four of eight minutes, harder. [4]
James. And the long ones won, because more time at threshold.
Lyra. The opposite. The eight minute group improved about twice as much. The sixteen minute group did no better than four short four minute efforts, and only a little better than a group that just rode easy. Long threshold work helped. It just wasn't the biggest lever.
James. Okay, that's a bit deflating. So should I bin the 2x20?
Lyra. No. It's still a brilliant session for learning to hold a steady, hard effort, and that's exactly what a time trial or a long climb asks of you. The point is what goes around it. In the trials that compared threshold-only weeks with weeks that included harder work above threshold, the harder work moved fitness further. So threshold earns its place next to a VO2max session, not as the whole week.
James. Right. And over-unders. Every group ride I've ever done is basically an over-under. Are they better than steady blocks?
Lyra. Honestly, nobody knows. We searched the research for a trial comparing over-unders with steady threshold work and couldn't find one. The usual story is that the over pushes lactate up and the under teaches you to clear it while you're still working hard. That's plausible, and it matches racing, but it hasn't been measured.
James. So they're a coach's hunch.
Lyra. A sensible hunch, built on experience, which isn't nothing. I'd treat them as race practice rather than a cleverer route to a higher FTP. The plan doesn't save them for race season, so if you want more of them close to an event, that's your call.
James. Let's make it real for people. If you're new to this, and threshold just sounds like a word for suffering?
Lyra. If you're new to this, you don't need threshold blocks yet. Build the habit first, with mostly easy riding and one steadier session a week, the kind where talking gets hard but you're not gasping. That's how WattPlan plans it for beginners too. A beginner plan stays on sweet spot all the way through.
James. And if you train with power?
Lyra. If you train with power, the plan leans towards shorter threshold sessions early on and longer ones, like two twenties or three fifteens, as the weeks go by. Let the last block tell you whether the number's right. Your own last-rep power is a better guide than any percentage on a screen.
James. And for the racers? The ones who'll ignore all this and do 2x20 at 105 percent.
Lyra. Those riders. If you race, the build is where threshold earns its keep, paired with a VO2max day and an easier day between them. Tell the plan you're training for a time trial and threshold comes round more often. And the race simulation session, with its surges above threshold, is the closest thing in the library to the real thing.
James. And what does WattPlan actually give you here?
Lyra. The library has a good spread of threshold sessions, from a short express one to a two hour four by twenty, plus steps, a progressive build, a race simulation and an over-under. On a smart trainer the player holds the target for you, so you're not chasing the number.
James. And when does it put them in a plan?
Lyra. Once the build phase starts, alongside sweet spot and VO2max work, and more often if you've told it you're training for a time trial. Base phases and beginners stay on sweet spot.
James. What can't the research tell us yet?
Lyra. Quite a bit. These trials are small, mostly men, and nobody can be blinded to the session they're riding. No trial has put over-unders against steady blocks. And how closely your own FTP matches your own steady state can only be checked with a blood lactate test, which most of us will never do. So the effort in your last rep matters more than the percentage.
James. So this week. Stop treating the 2x20 as a test, turn it down a notch if the second one falls apart, and keep the VO2max day in.
Lyra. Yes. Ride the first twenty like you could do a third. The threshold session that makes you faster is the one you can repeat next week, a little longer.
Lyra. The full article and every study we mentioned are on the WattPlan blog, linked in the show notes. And if you've enjoyed this, follow the WattPlan Podcast wherever you're listening, so you don't miss the next one.
James. And if you want a plan built around the time you've actually got, get WattPlan on the App Store or Google Play. Thanks for listening.
Voices produced with ElevenLabs. James's voice is a clone of his own, Lyra is an AI voice, and James reviews every episode.
Threshold intervals for cycling are blocks of 8 to 20 minutes at 95 to 105% of FTP, the power you can hold for roughly an hour. In a 2018 study of 23 trained men, riders lasted 50.9 minutes on average at their 20-minute FTP estimate, give or take 15.7, so a 2x20 at FTP sits close to some riders' limit.
What is threshold power in cycling?
Physiologists mark the top of steady riding as the maximal lactate steady state, the highest power at which blood lactate stays level. Below it you can ride for a long time. Above it lactate keeps climbing until you slow down. FTP, 95% of your best 20 minutes, is a field estimate of that line, and two studies from 2019 and 2020 show how close it gets.
Fernando Klitzke Borszcz and colleagues tested 15 trained and well-trained cyclists. On average FTP landed 1.4% from the steady state, but the limits of agreement ran to 9.2% either side, so one rider's FTP could sit well above their real threshold and another's well below. Erin Inglis and colleagues tested 12 men and 6 women and found the steady state at 93.1% of FTP on average. After 7 months of training, 10 of them had gained 12 W at the steady state while their FTP estimate didn't move. Our guide to what FTP is covers the test itself.
What the threshold studies found
| Study | Riders | What they compared | Key number |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borszcz 2018 | 23 trained men | Time to exhaustion at the 20-minute FTP estimate | 50.9 min, SD 15.7 |
| Borszcz 2019 | 15 trained and well-trained | FTP against the maximal lactate steady state | 1.4% bias, limits ±9.2% |
| Inglis 2020 | 12 men, 6 women | The steady state against FTP | Steady state at 93.1% of FTP, SD 5.1% |
| Seiler 2013 | 9 a group, recreational | 4 x 16 min against 4 x 8 min, twice a week for 7 weeks | 5.6% (95% CI 2.1 to 9.1) against 11.4% (8.0 to 14.9) |
| Neal 2013 | 12 male cyclists, crossover | Threshold against polarised training, 6 weeks each | Lactate threshold power up 2% against 9% |
| Rosenblat 2019 | 3 trials pooled | Polarised against threshold training | Time trial effect size -0.66, 95% CI -1.17 to -0.15, favouring polarised |
Do threshold intervals raise FTP?
They do, but in the trials threshold work on its own moved fitness less than weeks with some harder riding. In Stephen Seiler's 2013 study, riders who did 4 x 16 minutes at about 88% of peak heart rate, with blood lactate near 4.9 mmol/L, improved by 5.6% on the study's combined fitness measure. That was no better than 4 x 4 minutes and well short of the 11.4% from 4 x 8 minutes ridden harder. Easy riding alone gave 4.2%.
Craig Neal and colleagues put 12 well-trained male cyclists through two 6-week blocks in random order, with 4 weeks off between. The threshold block was 57% easy riding and 43% at moderate intensity, at 7.5 hours a week. The polarised block was 80% easy and 20% hard, at 6.4 hours. Peak power rose 8% against 3%, power at lactate threshold 9% against 2%, and time to exhaustion at a hard fixed power 85% against 37%, all in favour of the polarised block. The threshold block had no hard work above threshold at all.
Michael Rosenblat and colleagues pooled the randomised trials in 2019. Only 4 qualified and 3 went into the analysis, rated 4 or 5 out of 10 for quality, and time trial performance favoured polarised training by a moderate margin. Our polarised and pyramidal training guide covers that debate in full.
Our view at WattPlan is that threshold intervals work best in a build phase alongside a weekly VO2max session. In Neal's crossover and the pooled trials, weeks that included work above threshold moved fitness further than threshold-only weeks.
What power should threshold intervals be?
Start at 95 to 100% of FTP, which is 238 to 250 W at a 250 W FTP. The Inglis result puts the average rider's steady state below their FTP, so a 2x20 at 100% sits above it for many riders. If the last 5 minutes of a 20-minute block feel like a time trial finish, ride the next one at 95%.
Go to 102 to 105% only in shorter pieces, 3 to 6 minutes at a time, or as the over part of an over-under. The 15.7-minute spread in time to exhaustion means a fixed percentage of FTP is a different effort for every rider. Your own last-rep power is a better guide than any rule.
Are over-under intervals better than steady threshold?
Nobody has tested it. A search of the research literature on 21 October 2026 turned up no trial of over-under or varied-intensity threshold intervals in cyclists. The usual case is that the over pushes lactate up and the under, just below threshold, teaches you to clear it while still working hard. That mechanism is plausible, and it matches what a road race or a hilly 25 mile time trial asks of you, but it hasn't been measured against steady blocks of the same total work.
So treat over-unders as race practice for the last weeks before an event. The version in WattPlan's library is 4 minutes at 105% then 4 minutes at 95%, four times through with 1 minute easy between. Ride them after a few weeks of steady threshold, when 2x20 at 95% feels controlled.
How to fit threshold intervals into your week
- Test or confirm your FTP first, then start at 2 or 3 x 10 minutes at 95 to 100%.
- Add 5 minutes a week until you reach 2 x 20 or 3 x 15 minutes at the same power.
- Ride threshold once a week in a build phase and keep a VO2max session as the other hard day, with an easy day between them.
- Bring in over-unders or surges for the last 3 or 4 weeks before a road race or hilly time trial.
- Take an easier week after three loading weeks, and retest before raising your targets.
Threshold sessions in WattPlan
The library holds 12 Threshold workouts. On a smart trainer the WattPlan player holds each target in ERG, so the target changes the moment a step ends, with no shifting. Our ERG mode guide explains how that works.
- Threshold Express, 2 x 8 min at 100%
- Threshold Classic, 3 x 10 min at 100%
- Threshold 4x10, 4 x 10 min at 100%
- Threshold 2x20, 2 x 20 min at 100%
- Threshold 3x15, 3 x 15 min at 100%
- Threshold Marathon, 3 x 20 min at 100%
- Threshold 4x20, 4 x 20 min at 95% in a two-hour session
- Threshold Steps, 3 rounds of 5 min at 98% then 5 min at 102%
- Threshold Over-Unders, 4 rounds of 4 min at 105% then 4 min at 95%
- Threshold Progressive, 30 min building from 95 to 105%
- Threshold Mixed, 4 x 12 min at 100% with 6 min at 70% between
- Threshold Race Simulation, two 27 min blocks of 6 min at 98% and 3 min surges at 105%
The sweet spot library also has a gentler over-under, 4 rounds of 6 min at 95% then 3 min at 85%.
The plan generator keeps base phases and beginner plans on sweet spot. From the build phase a time trial plan with two quality days puts threshold first every loading week, and other plans bring it in about every other week, alongside sweet spot or VO2 Max work. Riders with one quality day a week rotate through their phase's kinds of work, so threshold comes round every second or third week.
What the research can't tell you yet
The threshold trials are small, mostly in men, and nobody can be blinded to the session they ride. Seiler's groups had 9 riders each and Neal's crossover 12, and the pooled analysis rested on 3 trials of modest quality. No trial has compared over-unders with steady threshold blocks, so the case for them rests on coaching experience. How closely your FTP matches your own steady state can only be checked with blood lactate testing, which is why the effort in your last rep matters more than the percentage on the screen.
Sources
- Functional Threshold Power in Cyclists: Validity of the Concept and Physiological Responses, International Journal of Sports Medicine
- Is the Functional Threshold Power Interchangeable With the Maximal Lactate Steady State in Trained Cyclists?, International Journal of Sports Physiology and Performance
- Maximal Lactate Steady State Versus the 20-Minute Functional Threshold Power Test in Well-Trained Individuals: "Watts" the Big Deal?, International Journal of Sports Physiology and Performance
- Adaptations to aerobic interval training: interactive effects of exercise intensity and total work duration, Scandinavian Journal of Medicine and Science in Sports
- Six weeks of a polarized training-intensity distribution leads to greater physiological and performance adaptations than a threshold model in trained cyclists, Journal of Applied Physiology
- Polarized vs. Threshold Training Intensity Distribution on Endurance Sport Performance: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials, Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research
