The WattPlan Podcast · Episode 5 · 10 min
Which VO2max intervals actually work?
Read the transcript
James. Welcome to the WattPlan Podcast. I'm James. Family, work, chasing the odd podium, building WattPlan in whatever hours are left, and a sports science reading habit that's frankly out of control. Today it's the session everyone loves to hate. VO2max intervals. Thirty fifteens, fours, eights, fives. Which ones actually work, and how often should you ride them? Joining me is Lyra, an AI who's read the trials so you don't have to, and every one of them is linked in the show notes.
Lyra. Ha, the suffering episode. Straight answer, the formats with the best evidence are thirty fifteens and repeats of three to eight minutes, ridden twice a week for seven to ten weeks in the trials. But the bigger lesson is that the dose matters more than the format. How much hard work you actually complete beats which clever pattern you picked.
James. Okay, quick one for anyone newer than me. What are we actually training here?
Lyra. VO2max is the most oxygen your body can use in a minute. It's the ceiling on your aerobic engine. To push it up, you need to spend time close to that ceiling, and that's the whole game with these sessions. Time near the top, repeated, over weeks. Every format is just a different way of collecting those minutes.
James. Right, so start with the trendy one. Thirty fifteens. Thirty seconds hard, fifteen easy. Do they live up to the hype?
Lyra. In the trials so far, they look strong. The first is Rønnestad and colleagues, 2015, in the Scandinavian Journal of Medicine and Science in Sports. Cyclists rode either short intervals or long intervals, matched for effort, twice a week alongside easy riding, for ten weeks. Nine riders in the short group, seven in the long. VO2max rose 8.7 percent with the short intervals and 2.6 percent with the long ones. [1]
James. Hang on, that's more than three times as much. That's huge.
Lyra. It's a big gap, yes. And the same research group came back in 2020 with elite cyclists, VO2max around 73 millilitres per kilo per minute, so properly fit. Nine sessions in three weeks. The short session was three sets of thirteen thirty second efforts with fifteen seconds' recovery, against four five minute efforts. VO2max didn't change any more in one group than the other. But twenty minute power rose 4.7 percent after the thirty fifteens and fell 1.4 percent after the fives. [2]
James. So the thirty fifteens win. Surely that's the end of it? Why would anyone ride anything else?
Lyra. Because the trials are small. Nine riders here, seven there, and the spread in the results is about as big as the effects themselves. Nobody can be blinded to the session they're riding. The 2015 riders were all men, and the thirty fifteen trials all come from one research group. So it's a promising lead for trained riders. It isn't proof that thirty fifteens beat every long interval set.
James. Okay, fair. So what about the long stuff? Is longer better?
Lyra. Here's where it gets interesting. Stephen Seiler's group published a trial in the same journal in 2013. Thirty five trained recreational cyclists, twenty nine men and six women, split into four groups for seven weeks. One group rode easy only. The others did four by four, four by eight or four by sixteen minutes, twice a week, as hard as they could hold. [4]
James. And the winner was?
Lyra. Four by eight, clearly. Across peak oxygen uptake and two power measures, that group gained 11.4 percent on average, against 5.5 for four by four, 5.6 for four by sixteen and 4.2 for easy riding. And the bit I love is how. Thirty two minutes of work at about ninety percent of peak heart rate beat sixteen minutes at about ninety five percent, even though the eights felt easier.
James. Really? Easier and better? That breaks my brain a bit.
Lyra. It's the dose idea again. The fours were harder per minute, but there just weren't enough minutes. The eights let riders pile up twice the hard work at an effort they could sustain. Which is why our view at WattPlan is that dose beats format. Finish the session at full effort, and build towards fifteen to thirty minutes of hard work.
James. So if I'm hearing you right, the thirty fifteens are the exciting new kid, but the real rule is finish the session and stack up the minutes.
Lyra. That's it exactly. And treat the thirty fifteens as a lead from small trials, not settled science. One more honest gap. Nobody has compared thirty fifteens with four by eights head to head, and the two trials that favoured each one used different riders and different matching. So we genuinely don't know which of those two is better.
James. Okay, numbers. What power should these actually be?
Lyra. In WattPlan's zones, VO2max is Zone 5, 106 to 120 percent of your FTP. At an FTP of 250 watts, that's 265 to 300 watts. Longer reps mostly sit lower in the band, so the library rides five minute efforts at 110 percent, most four minute efforts at 110 or 112, and two minute efforts at 115. Thirty second efforts run higher. The library's Billats sit at 120 percent, so start any thirties there and adjust until you can repeat them to the last one.
James. And the fifteen seconds in between? Do I just stop?
Lyra. No, keep pedalling easily. The library's thirty thirties and forty twenties recover at half your FTP. And this is where the turbo earns its keep. In ERG mode the trainer holds each target for you, which suits Billats and forty twenties. On the road, junctions and traffic wreck a short recovery, so save the road for three to five minute efforts on a steady climb.
James. Let's split it by who's listening. If you're new to this, should you be doing any of it?
Lyra. If you're new to structured training, not yet. Build a base of endurance and sweet spot first. That's how WattPlan plans work too. Base phases and beginner plans stay on sweet spot, and harder work, threshold and for most riders VO2max, comes in from the build phase. These sessions pay off far more once you've got the aerobic base underneath them.
James. And if you train with power?
Lyra. If you train with power, confirm your FTP first, so the 106 to 120 percent targets mean something. Then ride the VO2max sessions your plan gives you. A WattPlan plan sets at most one a week, never next to another hard day, and changes the format from week to week. That's how WattPlan plans it, because the dose matters more than the format, and the plan builds the hard minutes as the block goes on.
James. And if you race, or you're chasing a target?
Lyra. If you race, the thirty fifteen evidence is mostly in riders like you, trained and competitive. The elite riders managed three sessions a week, but only for three weeks, and that's more than a WattPlan plan asks of you. The plan keeps it to two hard days a week at most, every fourth week easier, and never two hard days back to back.
James. One thing I noticed. There's no thirty fifteen in the WattPlan library. Isn't that a bit awkward?
Lyra. It's an honest gap, yes. The library has ten VO2 Max workouts, including Billats, which are thirty seconds on and thirty off, and forty twenties. But we found no published trial reporting fitness gains from forty twenties in cyclists. The library's longer reps, three to five minutes, are the ones closest to the trials.
James. So what's the homework?
Lyra. Three things. One, test or confirm your FTP. Two, ride the VO2max sessions your plan gives you at full effort, and finish them rather than chase a cleverer format. Three, retest your best five minute power at the end of the block. Responses vary a lot between riders, so your own five and twenty minute power is the best test of whether the block worked.
James. Okay, in my words. Get my FTP right, ride the VO2max sessions the plan gives me, finish every one, then retest and see if it actually did anything for me.
Lyra. Perfect. And the one line to keep, finish the session and stack the minutes. The format is the small print.
Lyra. The full article and every study we mentioned are on the WattPlan blog, linked in the show notes.
James. And if you want a plan that's built around the time you've actually got, that's what WattPlan does. Thanks for listening.
Voices produced with ElevenLabs. James's voice is a clone of his own, Lyra is an AI voice, and James reviews every script before it is published.
The VO2max intervals for cycling with the best evidence are 30/15s and repeats of 3 to 8 minutes, ridden twice a week for 7 to 10 weeks. In a 2015 trial of 16 trained cyclists, 30/15s raised VO2max by 8.7% in 10 weeks, against 2.6% for 4 x 5 minute intervals ridden at the same effort.
Which VO2max sessions have the evidence?
Most formats below have been compared head to head in trained cyclists or sit inside a pooled analysis, and the last has neither. "At effort" means the riders were told to hold the highest power they could sustain for the whole set, which is how most of these trials set intensity.
| Session | Work and rest | Target | Hard work per session | Time near VO2max | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/15s | 3 sets of 13 x (30 s on, 15 s easy), 3 min between sets | At effort, recoveries at half of work power. 363 W in 2015, 12% above the 5 min group | 19.5 min | 54% longer above 90% of VO2max than 5 min efforts, 8 elite riders | Rønnestad 2015 and 2020, 16 and 18 riders |
| 4 x 5 min | 5 min on, 2.5 min easy | At effort, 324 W in the 2015 trial | 20 min | Less than 30/15s in the same riders | The comparison group in both Rønnestad trials |
| 4 x 8 min | 8 min on | At effort, about 90% of peak heart rate | 32 min | Not reported | Seiler 2013, 9 recreational cyclists a group |
| 4 x 4 min | 4 min on | At effort, about 94% of peak heart rate | 16 min | Not reported | Seiler 2013, the same trial |
| 3 to 5 min repeats | 2 min or longer on, 15 min or more of work | 106 to 120% of FTP, WattPlan's Zone 5 | 15 min or more | Not reported | Wen 2019 meta-analysis, 53 trials |
| 40/20s | 40 s on, 20 s easy | Hardest pace you can repeat | Up to 30 min | Not reported | No published fitness results yet |
What did the 30/15 trials find?
Bent Rønnestad and colleagues at Lillehammer randomised 20 male competitive cyclists, average age 33, to 10 weeks of 30/15s or 4 x 5 minutes, twice a week among easy riding. Sixteen finished. Both groups rode about 20 minutes of hard work per session at matched effort. VO2max rose 8.7% (plus or minus 5.0%) in the 30/15 group and 2.6% (plus or minus 5.2%) in the long-interval group. Best 40 minute power rose 12% against 4%.
In 2020 the same group tested 18 elite cyclists with a VO2max of 73 ml/kg/min, who rode nine sessions in three weeks. VO2max changed no more in one group than the other, but 20 minute power rose 4.7% after 30/15s and fell 1.4% after 4 x 5 minutes. A crossover study in 8 elite riders found 30/15s were ridden at 14% higher power and kept riders above 90% of VO2max 54% longer, at the same perceived effort and blood lactate.
Nine and seven riders per group is small, the standard deviations are as large as the effects, and nobody can be blinded to the session they ride. The 2015 riders were all men, and all three studies came from one Norwegian group. So 30/15s look strong for trained riders without being proven better than every long-interval set.
Are longer intervals better for VO2max?
Stephen Seiler's group split 35 trained recreational cyclists, 29 men and 6 women, into four groups for 7 weeks. Eight rode easy only, and 9 each did 4 x 4, 4 x 8 or 4 x 16 minutes twice a week, as hard as they could hold. The 4 x 8 group gained 11.4% on average across VO2peak, power at VO2peak and power at a set lactate (95% CI 8.0 to 14.9), against 5.5% for 4 x 4, 5.6% for 4 x 16 and 4.2% for easy riding. Thirty-two minutes at about 90% of peak heart rate beat 16 minutes at 94%, even though it felt easier.
The pooled evidence points the same way. A 2019 meta-analysis of 53 randomised trials found the biggest VO2max gains came from reps of 2 minutes or more, 15 minutes or more of hard work per session and blocks of 4 to 12 weeks or longer. A 2015 meta-analysis of 28 studies and 723 adults found interval training raised VO2max by 5.5 ml/kg/min against no training and 1.2 ml/kg/min more than steady endurance riding, with bigger gains in less fit people. Those participants started near 41 ml/kg/min, so a trained club rider should expect less. For how much VO2max is set by genes, see how trainable FTP and VO2max are.
Our view at WattPlan is that dose beats format, so pick a session you can finish at full effort, build to 15 to 30 minutes of hard work, and treat 30/15s as a promising lead from small trials.
What power should VO2max intervals be?
In WattPlan's zones, VO2max is Zone 5, 106 to 120% of your FTP, or 265 to 300 W at a 250 W FTP. Longer reps sit lower in the band, so the library rides 5 minute efforts at 110% and 2 minute efforts at 115%.
Short-interval work runs higher. If your 5 minute efforts sit at about 112% of FTP, the 2015 trial's 12% gap puts the 30 s efforts near 125%. Start there, adjust until you can repeat it to the last rep, and keep pedalling through the 15 s at about half the work power.
How often should you do VO2max intervals, and for how many weeks?
Twice a week for 7 to 10 weeks is what the trials used, with easy riding in between. The elite riders managed three a week, but only for three weeks. Leave an easier day between hard sessions, make every fourth week easier, and put the block after a base of endurance and sweet spot, as in our first sportive plan.
Turbo or road for 30/15s?
The 2015 riders did their 30/15s on rollers or an ergometer so power could change within seconds. On a turbo in ERG mode the trainer holds each target for you, which suits 30/15s and 40/20s. Junctions and traffic break 15 second recoveries, so save the road for 4 to 8 minute efforts on a steady climb.
The VO2max sessions in WattPlan
The library holds 10 VO2 Max workouts, each with recoveries at 50% of FTP.
- VO2 Max Express, 5 x 2 min at 115%
- VO2 Max Classic, 6 x 3 min at 115%
- Billats (30/30s), 3 sets of 10 x (30 s at 120%, 30 s easy)
- VO2 Max 5x4, 5 x 4 min at 112%
- VO2 Max Pyramid, 1, 2, 3, 4, 3, 2, 1 min at 115%
- VO2 Max 40/20s, 3 sets of 15 x (40 s at 118%, 20 s easy)
- VO2 Max Long Intervals, 3 x 5 min at 110%
- VO2 Max Extended, 6 x 4 min at 112%
- VO2 Max 8x4, 8 x 4 min at 110%
- VO2 Max Mixed, 2, 3, 4 and 5 min twice through, 115 down to 110%
There's no 30/15 in the library yet. The plan generator keeps base phases and beginner plans on sweet spot and adds VO2 Max work from the build phase. A road race or general plan with two quality days a week gets a VO2 Max session most build and peak weeks. Sportive, gravel and time trial plans alternate it with threshold or sweet spot, and riders with one quality day get it every other week at most. Every fourth week of a phase is a recovery week with no quality days, and the two quality days never fall back to back.
The Stats page shows an estimated VO2max from your best 5 minute power and weight, using the American College of Sports Medicine cycling equation, 10.8 x W/kg + 7. At 300 W and 75 kg that's 50.2 ml/kg/min. Treat it as a trend, never a lab result.
What to do in your next block
- Test or confirm your FTP so the 106 to 120% targets mean something.
- Pick one format for 7 to 10 weeks, 4 x 5 minutes or 3 sets of 13 x 30/15s, and ride it twice a week with an easy day between.
- Start lower, 2 sets of 13 or 3 x 5 minutes, and add a set or a rep each week until you reach 15 to 30 minutes of hard work.
- Ride the short formats on the turbo in ERG and the long ones on a climb.
- Retest your best 5 minute power after the block. For where this fits in a wider plan, see how to increase FTP.
What the research can't tell you yet
None of these trials compared 30/15s with 4 x 8 minutes, and the two that favoured each one used different riders and different matching. Most riders were men, and the 2015 meta-analysis only took adults aged 18 to 45. We found no published trial reporting fitness gains from 40/20s in cyclists. Responses vary widely, so your own 5 minute and 20 minute power is the best test of whether a block worked. If you're new to structured training, start with the beginner plan first.
Sources
- Short intervals induce superior training adaptations compared with long intervals in cyclists - an effort-matched approach, Scandinavian Journal of Medicine and Science in Sports
- Superior performance improvements in elite cyclists following short-interval vs effort-matched long-interval training, Scandinavian Journal of Medicine and Science in Sports
- Systemic and muscular responses to effort-matched short intervals and long intervals in elite cyclists, Scandinavian Journal of Medicine and Science in Sports
- Adaptations to aerobic interval training: interactive effects of exercise intensity and total work duration, Scandinavian Journal of Medicine and Science in Sports
- Effects of different protocols of high intensity interval training for VO2max improvements in adults: A meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials, Journal of Science and Medicine in Sport
- Effectiveness of High-Intensity Interval Training (HIT) and Continuous Endurance Training for VO2max Improvements: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Controlled Trials, Sports Medicine
